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MPs have the power to stop a bad or ‘no deal’ Brexit this autumn — it’s up to you to make sure they do. Send a message to your local MP to tell them this is #NotMyBrexit.
In this General Election Brexit will be the defining issue for this country. We have an historic opportunity to elect a Parliament that will deliver a new People’s Vote where we can have a final say. This will be achieved only through smart, tactical voting and campaigning.
Wales for Europe has no party affiliation. We do not back parties, but we will support candidates who will give the country a fresh opportunity to decide whether to leave the EU or stay. Wales for Europe will attempt to bring Welsh voters the fullest information on which to base their votes. We will update this information as necessary throughout the election period.
Wales has 40 constituencies. In the 2017 election, Wales returned 8 Conservatives, 4 Plaid Cymru and 28 Labour MPs. In the 2019 by-election in Brecon & Radnorshire, the Liberal Democrats gained a seat from the Conservatives.
A very tight race in 2017. Guto Bebb, a rebel Remainer Tory is stepping down. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Conservative | 12,513 | 41.5 | 14,337 | 44.6 |
| Labour | 8,514 | 28.2 | 13,702 | 42.6 |
| Plaid Cymru | 3,536 | 11.7 | 3,170 | 9.9 |
| Liberal Democrat | 1,391 | 4.6 | 941 | 2.9 |
| UKIP | 3,467 | 11.5 | ||
| Green Party | 727 | 2.4 | ||
| MAJORITY | 3,999 | 13.3 | 635 | 2.0 |
Incumbent: Simon Hart. Tory majority cut sharply in 2017. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Conservative | 17,626 | 43.7 | 19,771 | 46.8 |
| Labour | 11,572 | 28.7 | 16,661 | 39.5 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1,290 | 3.2 | 3,933 | 9.3 |
| Liberal Democrat | 963 | 2.4 | 956 | 2.3 |
| UKIP | 4,698 | 11.6 | 905 | 2.1 |
| MAJORITY | 6,054 | 15.0 | 3,110 | 7.3 |
Incumbent: David Jones, arch Brexiteer. Was thought to be stepping down, but clearly not. Big jump for Labour to capture. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Conservative | 16,463 | 43.3 | 19,541 | 48.1 |
| Labour | 9,733 | 25.6 | 16,104 | 39.6 |
| Plaid Cymru | 4,651 | 12.2 | 3,918 | 10 |
| Liberal Democrat | 1,387 | 3.6 | 1,091 | 2.7 |
| UKIP | 4,988 | 13.1 | ||
| MAJORITY | 6,730 | 17.7 | 3,437 | 8.5 |
Incumbent: Stephen Crabb. The most marginal Welsh Tory seat. Has to be a major target for Labour. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Conservative | 16,383 | 40.4 | 18,302 | 43.4 |
| Labour | 11,414 | 28.1 | 17,988 | 42.6 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2,518 | 6.2 | 2,711 | 6.4 |
| Independent | 3,729 | 9.2 | 1,209 | 2.9 |
| Liberal Democrat | 780 | 1.9 | 1,106 | 2.6 |
| UKIP | 4,257 | 10.5 | 850 | 2 |
| MAJORITY | 4969 | 12.3 | 314 | 0.8 |
Incumbent: Alun Cairns. Big drop in majority last time, and caught in scandal about party worker involved in rape case. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Conservative | 23,607 | 46 | 25,501 | 47.5 |
| Labour | 16,727 | 32.6 | 23,311 | 43.4 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2,869 | 5.6 | 2,295 | 4.3 |
| Liberal Democrat | 1,309 | 2.5 | 1,020 | 1 |
| UKIP | 5,489 | 10.7 | 868 | 1.6 |
| Green Party | 1,054 | 2 | 419 | 0.8 |
| MAJORITY | 6,880 | 13.4 | 2,190 | 4.1 |
Incumbent: Anna McMorrin. Enthusiastic Remainer. Has been a Tory seat in the past. A straight CON/LAB fight. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Labour | 19,572 | 38.3 | 26,081 | 50.1 |
| Conservative | 21,709 | 42.4 | 21,907 | 42.1 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2,301 | 4.5 | 1,738 | 3.3 |
| Liberal Democrat | 1,953 | 3.8 | 1,714 | 3.3 |
| UKIP | 3,953 | 7.7 | 582 | 1.1 |
| MAJORITY | 2,137 | 4.1 | 4,174 | 8.0 |
Incumbent: Tonia Antoniazzi. Enthusiastic Remainer. Seat was narrowly Conservative in 2015. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Conservative | 15,862 | 37.1 | 19,458 | 42.7 |
| Labour | 15,835 | 37 | 22,727 | 49.9 |
| Plaid Cymru | 3,051 | 7.1 | 1,669 | 3.7 |
| Liberal Democrat | 1,552 | 3.6 | 931 | 2 |
| UKIP | 4,773 | 11.2 | 642 | 1.4 |
| Green Party | 1,161 | |||
| MAJORITY CON/LAB | 27 | 0.1 | 3,269 | 7.2 |
Incumbent: Ruth Jones, elected in 2018 by-election. Solid Remainer. Straight LAB/CON race. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Labour | 16,633 | 41.2 | 22,723 | 52.3 |
| Conservative | 13,123 | 32.5 | 17,065 | 39.3 |
| UKIP | 6,134 | 15.2 | 1,100 | 2.5 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1,604 | 4 | 1,077 | 2.5 |
| Liberal Democrat | 1,581 | 3.9 | 976 | 2.2 |
| GreenParty | 1,272 | 3.2 | 497 | 1.1 |
| MAJORITY | 3,510 | 8.7 | 5,658 | 13.0 |
Incumbent: Chris Ruane. Third smallest Labour majority in Wales in 2015 and second smallest in 2017. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Labour | 13,523 | 38.4 | 19,423 | 50.2 |
| Conservative | 13,760 | 39 | 17,044 | 44.1 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2,486 | 7.1 | 1,551 | 4 |
| Liberal Democrat | 915 | 2.6 | 666 | 1.7 |
| UKIP | 4,577 | 13 | ||
| MAJORITY CON/LAB | 237 | 0.6 | 2,379 | 6.1 |
Incumbent: Ian Lucas, who is retiring. Strong Remainer. Smallest Labour majority in Wales. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Labour here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Labour | 12,181 | 37.2 | 17,153 | 48.9 |
| Conservative | 10,350 | 31.6 | 15,321 | 43.7 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2,501 | 7.6 | 1,753 | 5 |
| Liberal Democrat | 1,735 | 5.3 | 865 | 2.5 |
| UKIP | 5,072 | 15.5 | ||
| MAJORITY | 1,831 | 5.6 | 1,832 | 5.2 |
Incumbent: Albert Owen, who is retiring. This has been a Plaid Cymru seat in the past. May be closer than 2017 result would suggest. Tactical voting sites recommend Plaid Cymru or Labour.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Labour | 10,871 | 31.1 | 15,643 | 41.9 |
| Conservative | 7,393 | 21.2 | 10,384 | 27.8 |
| Plaid Cymru | 10,642 | 30.5 | 10,237 | 27.4 |
| Liberal Democrat | 751 | 2.2 | 479 | 1.3 |
| UKIP | 5,121 | 14.7 | 624 | 1.7 |
| MAJORITY LAB/PC | 229 | 0.6 | 5,259 | 14.5 |
Incumbent: Jane Dodds. This is a LD/Con marginal. LD gained it in by-election, where PC stood aside. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for The Liberal Democrats here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | 2019 By Election | ||||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Conservative | 16,453 | 41.1 | 20,081 | 48.6 | 12,401 | 39 |
| Liberal Democrat | 11,351 | 28.3 | 12,043 | 29.1 | 13,826 | 43.5 |
| Labour | 5,904 | 14.7 | 7,335 | 17.7 | 1,680 | 5.3 |
| UKIP | 3,338 | 8.3 | 576 | 1.4 | 242 | 0.8 |
| Plaid Cymru | 1,767 | 4.4 | 1,299 | 3.1 | ||
| Green Party | 1,261 | 3.1 | ||||
| MAJORITY CON/LD | 5,102 | 12.8 | 8,038 | 19.5 | 1,425 | 4.5 |
Incumbent: Hywel Williams. 2017 majority squeezed by Con/Lab fight. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Plaid Cymru here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Plaid Cymru | 11,790 | 43.9 | 11,519 | 40.8 |
| Labour | 8,122 | 30.3 | 11,427 | 40.5 |
| Conservative | 3,521 | 13.1 | 4,614 | 16.4 |
| UKIP | 2,277 | 8.5 | ||
| Liberal Democrat | 718 | 2.7 | 648 | 2.3 |
| Socialist Labour Party | 409 | 1.5 | ||
| MAJORITY | 3,668 | 13.6 | 92 | 0.3 |
Incumbent: Jonathan Edwards. 2017 majority squeezed by Con/Lab fight. A PC/LAB battle. All tactical voting sites recommend voting for Plaid Cymru here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Plaid Cymru | 15,140 | 38.4 | 16,127 | 39.3 |
| Labour | 9,541 | 24.2 | 12,219 | 29.8 |
| Conservative | 8,336 | 21.2 | 10,778 | 26.3 |
| UKIP | 4,363 | 11.1 | 985 | 2.4 |
| Green Party | 1,091 | 2.8 | ||
| Liberal Democrat | 928 | 2.4 | 920 | 2.2 |
| MAJORITY | 5,599 | 14.2 | 3,908 | 9.5 |
Incumbent: Ben Lake. A PC/LD battle. Both Remain. Tactical voting sites recommend voting for Plaid Cymru here.
| 2015 Election | 2017 Election | |||
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |
| Plaid Cymru | 10,347 | 27.7 | 11,623 | 29.2 |
| Liberal Democrat | 13,414 | 35.9 | 11,519 | 29 |
| Conservative | 4,123 | 11 | 7,307 | 18.4 |
| UKIP | 3,829 | 10.2 | 602 | 1.5 |
| Labour | 3,615 | 9.7 | 8,017 | 20.2 |
| Green Party | 2,088 | 5.6 | 542 | 1.4 |
| MAJORITY | 3,067 | 8.2 | 104 | 0.2 |
On 7th November Plaid Cymru, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens announced an electoral pact in 11 of the 40 seats in Wales. The LibDems and Greens have also agreed to stand down, each in favour of the other, in 49 seats in England. This has not been without controversy in Wales since at least two of the Labour seats have been held by passionately pro-Remain MPs, who have resigned from Shadow positions on the issue: Jo Stevens in Cardiff Central and Owen Smith in Pontypridd. Owen Smith is not standing. Jo Stevens is one of the signatories of the Remain Labour Campaign Pledge (See below)
| Seat | Held by | Remain Alliance rep. |
| Arfon | Plaid Cymru | Plaid Cymru |
| Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Plaid Cymru | Plaid Cymru |
| Carmarthenshire E & Dinefwr | Plaid Cymru | Plaid Cymru |
| Caerphilly | Labour | Plaid Cymru |
| Llanelli | Labour | Plaid Cymru |
| Pontypridd | Labour | Plaid Cymru |
| Ynys Mon | Labour | Plaid Cymru |
| Cardiff Central | Labour | Liberal Democrat |
| Brecon & Radnorshire | Liberal Democrat | Liberal Democrat |
| Montgomeryshire | Conservative | Liberal Democrat |
| Vale of Glamorgan | Conservative | Green Party |
We’ve gathered over 100 reasons outlining the potential impact on Wales and the rest of the UK — now it’s over to you. Share your reason with us and add to the growing evidence needed to halt a hard and damaging Brexit in its tracks.
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MPs have the power to stop a bad or ‘no deal’ Brexit this autumn — it’s up to you to make sure they do. Send a message to your local MP to tell them this is #NotMyBrexit.